\[ \newcommand{\Exg}{\operatorname{\mathbb{E}}} \newcommand{\Ex}{\mathbb{E}} \newcommand{\Ind}{\mathbb{I}} \newcommand{\Var}{\operatorname{Var}} \newcommand{\Cov}{\operatorname{Cov}} \newcommand{\Corr}{\operatorname{Corr}} \newcommand{\ee}{\mathrm{e}} \]
21 Metropolis–Hastings in continuous space
Summary:
The Metropolis–Hastings algorithm in continuous space works essentially the same as in discrete space: propose a move according to the transition density \(r(x,y)\), and accept it with probability \[\alpha(x,y) = \min \left\{ \frac{\pi(y)\,r(y,x)}{\pi(x)\,r(x,y)} , \, 1\right\} . \]
When the proposal distribution is that of the symmetric Gaussian random walk, this is the random walk Metropolis algorithm.
Choosing the step size \(\sigma\) in the Metropolis random walk is important: too small and the Markov chain takes only very small steps; too large and most proposals are rejected.
A burn-in period can be used to find a good initial point for MCMC.
Read more: Voss, An Introduction to Statistical Computing, Subsection ?.?.?.